Showing posts with label Prem Watsa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Prem Watsa. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Fairfax India Holding Shareholders' Letter 2015


The below are bits and pieces of the letter. Please do go over the full letter for more clarity and learning



While we are bottom-up investors looking to buy exceptional Indian companies at reasonable prices, since our investment thesis was predicated on the transformational impact on the Indian economy of Prime Minister Modi, we would like to review how things are tracking in India as compared to our initial expectations. 

We are not in the large camp of naysayers who are disappointed because they expected miraculous changes and immediate results. We had no such expectations for an economy that was moribund from 67 years of socialism, a literally unnavigable bureaucracy and endemic corruption, but we see significant progress on many important fronts since the new government took office. Here is a list of measures already enacted by this government (our apologies that the list is so long!):


  • Crack-down on crony capitalism
  • Implementation of a biometric-based identity program (Aadhaar scheme)
  • Financial inclusion
  • Subsidies shifting to DBT
  • Improvement in national railway infrastructure
  • Corporate tax: Simplification
  • Financial turnaround of state power distribution companies (DISCOMs)
  • Auction of coal mines
  • Other mineral mines are also to be auctioned
  • Higher foreign direct investment (FDI) in insurance, defence and railway infrastructure
  • Bankruptcy code
  • Smart cities
  • Metro rail (commuter infrastructure)
  • Progress on dedicated freight corridors (DFCs)
  • Archaic labour and other laws amended
  • Elimination of obsolete laws
  • Make In India
  • Invest India
  • Involvement of states to improve business environment
  • National agriculture market
  • Populist decisions avoided


Now we are pleased to report to you on the investments we have made in India

National Collateral Management Services Limited (NCML)
NCML is a ten year old company now preparing to expand to take advantage of the significant market potential in India’s under-developed agricultural storage industry. NCML operates in the agriculture value chain by offering end-to-end solutions in grain procurement, testing, storage and collateral management.

IIFL Holdings Limited (IIFL)
By the time Fairfax Financial became a shareholder, IIFL had become a diversified financial services holding company with subsidiaries in non-banking finance company (NBFC) business, wealth management, retail and institutional stock broking, investment banking and financial products distribution

Adi Finechem Limited (Adi)
Adi is an oleo chemicals company. Oleo chemicals are, broadly, chemicals that are derived from plant or animal fat, which can be used for making both edible products and non-edible products. In recent years the production of oleo chemicals has been moving from the U.S., Europe and Japan to Asian countries because of the local availability of key raw materials. 

Thursday, June 11, 2015

Prem Watsa story

http://business.financialpost.com/news/fp-street/fairfax-financial-holdings-ltd-chief-executive-prem-watsa-tells-his-horatio-alger-story

Fairfax Financial Ltd chief Prem Watsa tells his ‘Horatio Alger’ story

Horatio Alger, the 19th century American author, was famous for his novels for children — Ragged Dick, Tattered Tom, Luck and Pluck, and Strive and Succeed — that shared a theme: with hard work and the right attitude comes prosperity.

In Alger’s 1909 novel Telegraph Boy we meet a 15-year-old sitting on a bench in New York. An orphan, he has arrived from Hartford by boat. He is flat broke:

“‘Twenty-five cents to begin the world with,’ reflected Frank Kavanagh, drawing from his vest pocket two ten-cent pieces and a nickel. ‘That isn’t much, but it will have to do.’”

This past Tuesday at a lunch on Toronto’s Bay Street, after the operatic group, The Tenors, sang the anthem, Prem Watsa, chief executive of Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd., took the podium. He wore a navy pinstripe suit and baby blue tie. He had his own Horatio Alger story to tell. It was his own.

“I was an immigrant myself 43 years ago,” Watsa, 64, reminded a crowd that included Bruce Heyman, the U.S. ambassador to Canada, astronaut Chris Hadfield, Issy Sharp, the chairman of Four Seasons Hotels and Resorts, and John Tory, the mayor, former prime minister Brian Mulroney, and Rick Waugh, retired CEO of Bank of Nova Scotia. “I benefited myself from a good education,” he added. The event, after all, was to award scholarships to business students — the association, with a $10 million endowment, delivers 80 annual scholarships of $5,000 each and another 10 of double that. Fairfax also sponsors 45 scholarships of its own, which the association will be administering from now on.

Watsa has long been known as a reticent business leader in Canada, despite being one of the most prosperous in the country. But he spoke to the Financial Post this week about his own story and his passion for the association that helps open opportunities for hard-working kids.

Watsa says he’s never read Telegraph Boy; but he credits his success to two vintage American books of capitalist wisdom. And to his mother Irene, who raised four children, and his father, Manohar Clarence Watsa, an orphan himself, who worked his way up to become the principal of a top boys school in India. Much of Watsa’s life has been influenced by his father’s tenacity, and the advice he passed to his son: “Work as hard as you can, as though everything depended on you. Pray as hard as you can, as though everything depended on God.”

“I won the ovarian lottery,” Watsa says. “A billion people in India and I have two great parents.” Today he is a billionaire with homes in Toronto and in Caledon, north of the city. A contrarian investor, he is most well known for shrewdly betting a chunk of his insurance empire’s assets that the U.S. housing market would crash in 2008. That move netted $2 billion. Watsa himself is estimated to be worth $1.2 billion.

Born near Hyderabad, India, Watsa’s father’s position won him free tuition in private schools. Later, studying chemical engineering at the Indian Institute of Technology in Chennai, he played field hockey, ping-pong, tennis, and chess; as sports secretary, he led his school to its first sports triumph over the other IIT schools.

“With a lot of hard work, coaching, practice, we won that inter-varsity meet. The idea of winning came into your head,” he said. At the school he met Nalini Loganadhan, now his wife.

At age 20, he remembers catching a train from school in Chennai on the Bay of Bengal to home in Hyderabad.

“It was third class,” he recalls. “I was sitting on the steps of the carriage, because it was full, holding on for dear life, and this guy sits down next to me, and he says, ‘Have you ever read Napoleon Hill’s book, Think and Grow Rich? You gotta read it.’ It had a huge impact on me. It was a Horatio Alger book in a sense.”

Think and Grow Rich, published in 1937, starts with a description of Edwin C. Barnes, a young man so determined to work for Thomas Edison that he hopped a freight train to New Jersey. Watsa soon found in himself the same type of pluck. After deciding to go into business, he applied to the best business school in India — only to be one of the thousands of applicants who did not make the exclusive cut. After doubling down on his studies and finally landing a spot, he opted to turn it down, anticipating a better opportunity in Canada.

In 1972, with just eight dollars, he came to London, Ont. to live with his brother David and sister-in-law, and to study at the University of Western Ontario at what is now the Richard Ivey School of Business. To pay his way he sold stationery and gifts door to door.

“It was in the snowbelt,” Watsa recalls. “And it was cold. I thought I’d not survive that. Oh my goodness. Lots of snow.”

When summer finally came, Watsa switched to peddling Lennox air conditioners around town. He borrowed a car from his brother’s brother-in-law and started working for another immigrant, Ihor Horich, from Ukraine.

You know why I got that job? Because I got a call for a second interview, and the other three didn’t show up

“He says, ‘You know, Prem, you gotta go and sell.’ I’m not selling too much. I have no money coming in. I said to him, ‘You have to pay me some gas.’ And so he took me to a coffee shop, and said, ‘How can I pay you any gas money if you don’t sell?’ So he put his arms around me and said, ‘Instead of giving you a three per cent commission I’ll give you a five per cent commission.’ Then I started selling. I sold a lot of air conditioners.”

By 1974, with a master’s degree, Watsa landed an interview at Confederation Life in Toronto. Alighting from the subway, he ran into trouble.

“I am hurrying, and suddenly a police squad car jumps the sidewalk. He comes right up, takes out his gun, puts me on the car with my hands up and asks me a few questions. ‘Did you rob the bank?’ He frisks me, and lets me go, and I am like 10 or 15 minutes late for my interview.

Confederation Life offered Watsa $11,000 a year. Horich offered Watsa his air-conditioner business. Watsa chose insurance.

“I said, ‘Well, you know, I got a job, Ihor.’ And he said, ‘How much are they paying you?’ And I said, ‘$11,000 a year.’“ He said, ‘$11,000? You’re not worth that.’”

At Confederation Life, Watsa’s boss, John Watson, gave the young mover another classic business book that would influence his life: Ben Graham and David Dodd’s Security Analysis, published in 1934. Drawing lessons from the 1929 stock market crash, Graham gives examples of the market’s tendency to under-value out-of-favour securities. It would go on to become the urtext for value investing philosophy. Warren Buffett called it his “roadmap.”

“Value investing is a lot more prevalent now, because of Warren Buffett,” says Watsa. “But you’re talking about 1975. If I read it once, I read it 10 times, and it was my road to Damascus. I build a career on it.” Such was the lead author’s influence that the Watsas named their son Ben. Now 36, Ben Watsa recently took a seat on the Fairfax board.

His father, born in an impoverished country, who came to Canada with just a few dollars, says it’s his son Ben who has the disadvantage of being born where he was.

“I consider my children less fortunate for not having had the immigrant experience,” Prem Watsa says. “Being an immigrant … the only way to go is up.”

A decade after joining Confederation Life, Watsa and colleagues struck out to form the company that would eventually be called Fairfax. Today it owns insurance companies in Canada and the United States, Singapore, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Indonesia and Brazil; owns a pet insurance company based in Toronto, and owns reinsurance companies in the United States, United Kingdom, Poland and Barbados. Its market cap is north of $13 billion.


But every Horatio Alger hero faces his bumps in the road. Along the way, Watsa bought shares in Canwest Global Communications Corp., the former owner of the National Post, and in AbitibiBowater; both stocks were later delisted and together saw Fairfax write down nearly half-a-billion dollars in loss. A bad call on Torstar lost Fairfax another $175 million.

Recent years have been more favourable. Fairfax in 2014 declared US$26 billion in investments and reported profit of US$1.6 billion. Since 2010 an investment in Fairfax has earned more than double the overall market gain.

Watsa is now betting his country of origin has the pluck and tenacity to finally prosper. He believes in Narenda Modi, the Indian prime minister, whom he met in India and recently in Canada.

“He is going to transform India,” says Watsa, who recently raised US$1 billion for a new company, Fairfax India, on the Toronto Stock Exchange. “Canada’s economy is $2 trillion. India’s economy is $2 trillion. We have 35 million people; they have 1.2 billion people. The reason for that difference is that Canada is very much free enterprise and India went the socialistic route. Mr. Modi is going to reverse all that, make it business-friendly. He is incorruptible, and there is nothing for him, it’s all for the country. He’s a bachelor, and I think this man could be like Lee Kuan Yew [the first prime minister] in Singapore.”

At home Watsa is sticking with his contrarian streak, favouring the out-of-favour underdogs. Fairfax owns nine per cent of shares in the beleaguered BlackBerry Ltd. Asked at the Horatio Alger lunch whether he uses one of the devices himself, Watsa throws out his chest and asks “Does the sun rise in the east?” He pulls a BlackBerry Passport from his inside vest pocket.

“It’s beautiful. It’s the only one you should use for heaven’s sake. What phone do you have? An iPhone? … This is safer, it’s got a 24-hour battery, and a beautiful screen. I really like it. ”

ked why he put money in the struggling Waterloo tech firm, Watsa says, “These things go in cycles. Most people think that when companies do really well, they’ll never not succeed. And when companies go down, they’re going bankrupt. The reality is different. BlackBerry used to be $140 (a share). Every stock analyst loved it. Today it’s $10. Few stock analysts like it.” Apple shares, he notes, have risen from $5 to $700, and are now less of a buying opportunity. “You have to remember that the business flows up and down.”

In the story Telegraph Boy, Frank Kavanagh briefly works for a panhandler who pretends to be blind; then he sells newspapers. His luck changes when he helps a man on Broadway find an umbrella and the gentleman invites him home and sets him up with a job delivering messages. Through diligence Frank works his way up; by the book’s end he is worth $6,000 — decent money a century ago.

“Among the busy little messengers who flit about the city,” writes Alger, “there are some, no doubt, who will in years to come command a success and prosperity as great as our hero has attained.”

Watsa has plainly transcended the gumption of any Horatio Alger character. But coming up on 65, he’s not planning to retire — but he is looking forward to the opportunity to save a couple of bucks a day on his commute.

“I am going to be able to go on the subway and get my senior discount.”

With files from Christina Pellegrini

Financial Post

Thursday, June 4, 2015

Corruption at highest levels in India has disappeared, says Prem Watsa


Corruption at highest levels in India has disappeared, says Prem Watsa
By Romit Guha, ET Bureau | 4 Jun, 2015, 06.42AM IST

Corruption at India's top level has "disappeared" in the year since Narendra Modi took over as prime minister and this is an encouraging signal for foreign investors, says billionaire investor Prem Watsa. In an interview with ET's Romit Guha, the 'Warren Buffet of Canada' says India is the only country of significant size that he likes in the world, given the economic concerns around the US, Europe and China. Watsa-owned Fairfax India will be making the first of its five to seven planned investments in the country by the end of 2015. Edited excerpts: 

How do you view India, its economy, now that the Narendra Modi-led government has completed a year? 
India is doing very well. In the year since Prime Minister Modi took over, we believe that corruption at the highest levels has been removed. That push against corruption at the highest level will filter down as we go along. In such a short period of time, that's a phenomenal achievement. So, we are as excited about India now as when we raised the money for Fairfax India. This country, India, is on its way. It's a big country, and it takes time to turn it around, but we are very high on Prime Minister Modi. 

What in your view are the challenges before the government? 
Execution would be the biggest challenge. We are really excited to be here. Retroactive tax, some of these things, but like they said, they are from the past, but we see a lot of positive change, the biggest so far being the focus on eliminating corruption. 

How is India as an investment destination? 
There are still concerns in the world. China is having a problem with their domestic economy and the US is still very tepid. The only economy of significant size that we really like is India. But the Indian stock markets have gone up quite a bit, so one has to be careful in how to invest. But if you take a fiveyear view, I think, it will still do well. 

We are actually seeing deflation in the US and Europe. Price of oil has come down significantly — great benefit for India — even though it has come up a little. Our expectation is that oil prices will go down again, it'd be good for India, not good for the oil companies of course. Good for Indian interest rates over time, for inflation. 

You had planned to invest around $1 billion in India. What is the status? 
We are looking for honest, ethical business people, who will continue to build their business with us as a partner. Businesses with entrepreneurs that have a good track record and want us as investors. If you want to sell your entire company over the next three-fourfive years and no longer work in the business, we are not the partners for you. But if you want to build your company over the next 10-15-20 years, then we are a good partner for you. 

How many investments are you planning to make and of what ticket size? 
Of the $1 billion, we said we would look to invest in 5-7 businesses with size ranging from $50 million to $250 million. 

By when will you make your first investment? 
I would be surprised if we don't do the first investment by the end of 2015. We can look to invest in listed or unlisted companies. We can bring other partners, US/Canadian, but we don't want to take over the business we invest in. We want the promoters to continue. 

Is ecommerce an option for you? 
Ecommerce startup is still not a business for us to invest in. Startups are businesses with grand visions that often do not succeed. These promotional startups usually do well initially on stocks markets but the story usually ends badly for the people who have invested in it, so we wouldn't be in that. 

How much do you expect to invest in India over five years? 
India and Indian businesses need capital. We can raise more money. We have raised $1 billion now, but we can bring more. Also, we have the ability to borrow $500 million. 

Have you found enough honest entrepreneurs in India? 
Yes, very much. Surprisingly, many want to build companies, treat people well. That's why I feel comfortable we'll make an investment by the end of this year. 

Apart from BlackBerry, which investment has given you satisfaction? 
Bank of Ireland, the only bank that survived the downfall, the only bank that remained public, the rest needed 100% government ownership. The bank has thrived. 

Any retirement/succession plans? 
No retirement plans. I love what I do. There is a succession plan in place. Like if something happens to me, my directors know exactly what to do, my family knows what to do. I could have retired 20 years ago, but this is fun. 

How do you react to comparisons with Warren Buffet? 
There are similarities in that we both are in the property and casualty insurance business. It develops a float that you can invest. Our returns are similar — 20% compounded for 30 years for us, and 50 years for him. His returns are unbelievable. But Buffett is exceptional. His track record over 50 years is second to none. We have learned a lot from them. But we are different. Like we are in India, Singapore. He isn't huge in India.

Thursday, February 5, 2015

Prem Watsa on his investments in India

Disc: No Holding in Thomas Cook India


Chairman's letter to shareholders of Fairfax

We are very excited about our 75% investment in Thomas Cook India, run by Madhavan Menon, which we mentioned last year would be our vehicle for further expansion in India. Shortly thereafter, Thomas Cook India acquired IKYA Human Capital Solutions run by Ajit Isaac, a wonderful entrepreneur. IKYA is involved in human resources services, facilities management, skill development and food and hospitality services. The company employs over 65,000 people, with projected 2014 revenue of $40 million and expected free cash flow of $1.2 million.

Early this year, Thomas Cook India announced that it was acquiring Sterling Resorts, a time share and membership resort company that was begun in India in 1986 by R. Subramaniam. Sterling, with 1,940 employees, owns 210 acres of land in some of the most beautiful tourist locations in India. It owns and operates ten resorts (approximately 1,100 rooms with 350 more rooms coming on stream by next year) on 60 of those acres, leaving 150 acres of very valuable land for development in the future. Also, Sterling leases 400 rooms across another nine resorts at a fixed rate on long term leases. Currently it is running at less than 30% of its capacity of 79,000 members. Sterling expects revenues of approximately $26 million for the year ending March 2014, with breakeven free cash flow. Thomas Cook India is acquiring the company for approximately $140 million; excluding the valuable unutilized land, it is buying Sterling at less than ten times the annual free cash flow anticipated over the next few years. To help finance the deal, Fairfax will invest about $80 million into Thomas Cook India through the purchase of additional shares. After this acquisition, Fairfax will own about 71% of Thomas Cook India which, as I noted above, will be our investment vehicle for India – and will not be for sale!

Thomas Cook India is acquiring Sterling mainly because of Ramesh Ramanathan, the CEO of the company (like IKYA, Sterling will be independently run by its CEO). Ramesh joined the company in 1991 and helped develop the resorts for the next six years. He then spent 13 years at Mahindra Holidays building that business from scratch to 1,600 rooms across 32 properties. It is fair to say that Ramesh created the time share resort industry in India. Sterling went through some difficult times in the interim and Ramesh rejoined the company in 2011. He has already turned the company around and we expect significant growth in the future. Like Thomas Cook India, Sterling will be a long term beneficiary of the burgeoning middle class in India. A big thank you to our team in India (Fairbridge), led by Harsha Raghavan, working closely with Madhavan Menon and our own Chandran Ratnaswami.